NGC 3079 是侧向星暴星系（D = 19 Mpc，1′ = 5.53 kpc）。S09 用 10 个 XMM-Newton 指向、86 个 Einstein Probe FXT 指向与 Chandra 源普查研究其热外流：面亮度图与分区光谱测到 X 形双极风的"壁"到 ~55 kpc（55–66 kpc 为候选）、WSW 锥在 ~40 kpc 变为近等宽结构、90 kpc 内无"帽"、壁超压约 3 倍（不计 FXT 平坦软成分时；若它是加性背景则约 1.3–1.8，平衡不能排除；晕本身只是上限）、壁的热能是现今可见风供能的 7–14 倍 —— 解读为更早、更强爆发期的遗迹（CONDITIONAL）。可发表结果的状态截至 2026-10-15。
NGC 3079 is an edge-on starburst galaxy (D = 19 Mpc, 1′ = 5.53 kpc). Stage S09 studies its hot outflow with 10 XMM-Newton pointings, 86 Einstein Probe FXT pointings and a Chandra source census: maps and zoned spectra find X-shaped bipolar wind walls to ~55 kpc (55–66 kpc a candidate), a WSW cone turning near-constant-width at ~40 kpc, no cap within 90 kpc, walls over-pressured ~3× (without the FXT flat soft term; ~1.3–1.8, balance not excluded, if that term is an additive background; the halo itself is only an upper limit), and wall thermal energy 7–14× what the visible present wind supplies — read as a relic of an earlier, stronger episode (CONDITIONAL). Publishable-result status as of 2026-10-15.
来源Source: cognition-os/insights/I021_s09_paper_plan_v2.md; .agent/jobs/2026-10-15-S09-FACTS.md
| 目标Objective | 状态与当前最佳数字（含来源）Status and best current number (with source) | 趋势Trend |
|---|---|---|
O1 论文 I：热外流 —— 壁、烟囱、无帽、超压遗迹（工作标题中的"66 kpc"可能更改，PI 决定）Paper I: the hot outflow — walls, a chimney, no cap, an over-pressured relic (the "66 kpc" in the working title may change; PI decision)L1–L10, L12–L14, L17; gates C1, C3–C5, C7, C9–C10 open; C2 done 2026-10-15 |
MEASURED 壁测到 ~55 kpc（联合 PN+FXT：39–55 kpc B = 2.48 ± 0.43 PW；含 0.3–0.5 PW 估计器系统学后 4.8–3.8σ）；55–66 kpc 为候选：2.09 ± 0.67，含估计器与掩罩系统学后 2.0–2.9σ；66 kpc 之外为上限 B < 0.75 PW（95%，仅统计）。超压 WSW 2.95 ± 0.84 → C2 后 2.87 —— CONDITIONAL 于 FXT 背景模型（RT-08/RT-11）：L12 现为上限阶梯（0.87 / 0.93–1.07 / 1.04–1.81e-4），加性模型下最佳拟合 q ~1.3–1.8、平衡晕不被排除；最不利叠加可降至 ~0.85。Walls measured to ~55 kpc (joint PN+FXT: B = 2.48 ± 0.43 PW at 39–55 kpc; 4.8–3.8σ with the 0.3–0.5 PW estimator systematic); 55–66 kpc a candidate: 2.09 ± 0.67, 2.0–2.9σ with estimator and mask systematics; beyond 66 kpc a limit B < 0.75 PW (95%, stat only). Over-pressure WSW 2.95 ± 0.84 → 2.87 after C2 — CONDITIONAL on the FXT background model (RT-08/RT-11): L12 is now a limit ladder (0.87 / 0.93–1.07 / 1.04–1.81e-4); under the additive model the best-fit q is ~1.3–1.8 and the balance halo is not excluded; the hostile stack can drop to ~0.85.来源Source: claims L7/L12/L13; I021; REDTEAM_QUEUE.md RT-01/RT-02/RT-05/RT-06/RT-08/RT-11 |
↗ C2 完成后更稳↗ firmer after C2 |
O2 论文 II：径向 O/Fe（与 Liu et al. 2026 团队）Paper II: radial O/Fe (with the Liu et al. 2026 team)L11; gates C2 done, C5, C6 |
MEASURED (relative) 1T O/Fe：17–28 kpc 壁 8.26 → C2 PN+FXT 6.81（太阳仍被排除，dC(1) +5.4）；pooled 28–61 kpc 4.87 → 6.33。合并似然区间未校准（每 ON 区重复计一次 BG，e079_fit.py:220）。1T O/Fe: walls 17–28 kpc 8.26 → 6.81 with C2 PN+FXT (solar still rejected, dC(1) +5.4); pooled 28–61 kpc walls 4.87 → 6.33. Pooled-likelihood intervals are uncalibrated (BG counted once per ON region, e079_fit.py:220).来源Source: REPORT.hermes.md Table 2; session 2026-10-15.md (R1 astra) |
→ 待 C5/C6→ awaiting C5/C6 |
O3 物理解释（遗迹弱激波、能量来源、化学）Physical interpretation (relic weak shock, energy source, chemistry)L15, L16; P1/P2/P4/L1/L2/A1 (2026-10-15) |
CONDITIONAL 弱激波 Mach ~1.5–1.6（由 q 推定，非测量；需单相晕与光滑壁）。A1 审计 + RT-07：假设外延 R = 80–100 kpc时，100 Myr 情景每瓣 E0 = 3.40–4.94e57 erg、注入功率 1.08–1.57e42 erg/s（两瓣为 SN 功率的 2.7–3.9×）；对测得延伸 R = 55–66 kpc，同一模型给 1.4–2.5e57 erg、4.6–8.0e41 erg/s 每瓣，结束于 17–42 Myr 前。7–9e41 是对整个泡龄（151–176 Myr）的平均功率。全部能量 ∝ P_halo(47 kpc)/4.1e-14；L15 现在也受 C2 与 L12（上限）约束。Weak shock Mach ~1.5–1.6 (inferred from q, not measured; needs a single-phase halo and smooth walls). A1 audit + RT-07: assuming a reach R = 80–100 kpc, the 100 Myr episode gives E0 = 3.40–4.94e57 erg per lobe and injection power 1.08–1.57e42 erg/s (2.7–3.9× the SN power for two lobes); for the measured extent R = 55–66 kpc the same model gives 1.4–2.5e57 erg and 4.6–8.0e41 erg/s per lobe, ending 17–42 Myr ago. 7–9e41 is the power averaged over the full 151–176 Myr bubble age. All energies scale as P_halo(47 kpc)/4.1e-14; L15 is now also gated by C2 and by L12 (a limit).来源Source: I021 L15 (RT-07 triage); REDTEAM_QUEUE.md RT-07; A1 REPORT.sol.md; E098 record |
→ 讨论级→ discussion level |
O4 技术短文：EP-FXT 软弥漫辐射（可选）Technical note: EP-FXT soft diffuse emission (optional)L2, L2b, L3, E084-B; gate C10 |
OPTIONAL FXTDAS/CALDB v1.30 点源谱与 XMM 一致到 0–10%（0.4–1 keV）；MOS 卷帘梯度与 MOS1 CCD4 软超出已表征；RT-08/RT-11：FXT 图含一个未渐晕的平软项（0.49 cts/pix，0.5–1.3 keV，粒子模型 5×）—— 加性背景还是响应误差待定（PI/FXT 标定），正是技术短文的素材。非首篇 EP-FXT 弥漫辐射文章（Tang et al. 2026, Abell 1795）。FXTDAS/CALDB v1.30 point-source spectra match XMM to 0–10% at 0.4–1 keV; the MOS roll-dependent gradient and the MOS1 CCD4 soft excess are characterised; RT-08/RT-11: the FXT map carries an unvignetted flat soft term (0.49 cts/pix, 0.5–1.3 keV, 5× the particle model) — additive background or response error is open (PI/FXT calibration), exactly the material for the technical note. Not the first EP-FXT diffuse paper (Tang et al. 2026, Abell 1795).来源Source: I021 (technical note); E084; S09 E085; REDTEAM_QUEUE.md RT-08/RT-11 |
→ 可选→ optional |
| 问题Problem | 为何重要Why it matters | 最佳假设Best hypothesis | 下一步检验Next test | 负责Owner | 状态Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FXT 平软项：加性背景还是响应误差？（新顶行；RT-08/RT-11 分歧）The FXT flat soft term: additive background or response error? (new top row; the RT-08/RT-11 divergence) | 决定 L12/L13/L15/L16：加性模型下 L12 上限 1.04–1.81e-4（最佳拟合 0.93–1.38e-4，平衡晕不被排除），L13 q 掉到 ~1.3–1.8；响应误差模型下 L12 上限 0.93–1.07e-4，L13 超压保持decides L12/L13/L15/L16: under the additive model the L12 upper is 1.04–1.81e-4 (best fit 0.93–1.38e-4, the balance halo not excluded) and the L13 q drops to ~1.3–1.8; under the response-error model the L12 upper is 0.93–1.07e-4 and the L13 over-pressure stands | FXT 平软项 0.49 cts/pix（0.5–1.3 keV，粒子模型 5×，各波段皆有，非 Si K 线）；估计器无法吸收（QPBt 先验 ~2%）the FXT flat soft term is 0.49 cts/pix (0.5–1.3 keV, 5× the particle model, in every band, not the Si K line); the estimator cannot absorb it (QPBt prior ~2%) | FXT 空白天堆叠、CALDB 团队输入，或带 CXB 先验的天空+平场+晕联合拟合FXT blank-field stacks, CALDB-team input, or a joint sky + flat + halo fit with a CXB prior | PI decision; REDTEAM_QUEUE.md RT-08/RT-11 | OPEN |
| PN 径向标定（X-only PN 图、逐指向径向项）PN radial calibration (an X-only PN map, a per-pointing radial term) | L2b：PN 无 MOS 式平面（< 0.17 PW/arcmin，2σ）但径向标定未测；公共模径向误差不被任何 N−S 检验约束；牵动 L7、L12、L21L2b: PN shows no MOS-like plane (< 0.17 PW/arcmin, 2σ) but its radial calibration is untested; a common-mode radial error is not bounded by any N−S test; carries L7, L12, L21 | RT-09：N−S 径向差 +0.23 ± 0.13、全减 N/S +0.26 ± 0.13 PW/arcmin；−0.245 残差把 PN-only 晕上限抬到 7.2–14.1e-5（平衡晕不被排除）RT-09: N−S radial difference +0.23 ± 0.13, all-minus-N/S +0.26 ± 0.13 PW/arcmin; a −0.245 residual lifts the PN-only halo upper to 7.2–14.1e-5 (the balance halo not excluded) | X-only PN 图 + 逐指向径向项拟合an X-only PN map with a per-pointing radial term | REDTEAM_QUEUE.md RT-09; I021 L2b | OPEN |
| 合并 on-off 似然把 BG 每 ON 区计一次Pooled on-off likelihood counts BG once per ON region | pooled kT/O/Fe 区间（E096 §d、C2 pooled）未校准pooled kT/O/Fe intervals (E096 §d, C2 pooled) are uncalibrated | 复合似然，偏差方向未知composite likelihood, bias direction unknown | 在引擎副本中改为每相机一个共享 BG 项并重拟 E096 pooled O/Fefix one shared BG term per camera in an engine copy and refit the E096 pooled O/Fe | e079_fit.py:220; session 2026-10-15 NEXT | OPEN |
| E098a 注入功率 vs 平均功率措辞E098a injection vs mean power wording | L15 的能量叙事；页 v10 面板 P 数字错误the L15 energy narrative; page v10 panel P numbers are wrong | A1 已给出正确措辞（未应用到记录）A1 supplies the correct wording (not yet applied to the record) | 修 E098 行 61 与 I021 L15fix E098 line 61 and I021 L15 | A1 · REPORT.sol.md | OPEN |
| WWLM 谱区受 MCG 9-17-9 影响WWLM spectral region exposed to MCG 9-17-9 | 28–39 kpc WSW 壁 kT/O/Fe（该区 18–30% 像素在伴星系 1.5–2′ 内）the 28–39 kpc WSW wall kT/O/Fe (18–30% of its pixels lie within 1.5–2′ of the companion) | P5：L7 与烟囱边缘不受影响；+1.4–1.7 PW 超出仅 ~2σ_nullP5: L7 and the chimney edge are unaffected; the +1.4–1.7 PW excess is only ~2σ_null | 用 2′ MCG 掩罩重拟 WWLMrefit WWLM with a 2′ MCG mask | P5 (REPORT.sonnet.md); C2 follow-up | OPEN |
| 红队计划（free-redteam）Red-team programme (free-redteam) | L2b/L7/L8/L9/L11/L12/L13/L14/L15/L20/L21 的独立复核；RT-01–RT-03、RT-05–RT-07、RT-08..RT-11（2026-10-15/16 完成）已入账；RT-04 排队independent re-checks of L2b/L7/L8/L9/L11/L12/L13/L14/L15/L20/L21; RT-01–RT-03, RT-05–RT-07 and RT-08..RT-11 (done 2026-10-15/16) folded in; RT-04 queued | RT-01/RT-06：55–66 kpc 候选（2.0–2.9σ）；RT-03：3-D 烟囱 INFERRED；RT-02：q = 2.95 ± 0.84；RT-05（2026-10-15）：L12 → 上限、L13 → CONDITIONAL；RT-07（2026-10-15）：L14 改写、L15 → CONDITIONAL；RT-08（2026-10-16）：FXT 平软项 0.49 cts/pix，按响应误差 L12 上限 0.93–1.07e-4；RT-09（2026-10-16）：PN 无平面但径向未测，PN-only 不再单独排除平衡晕；RT-10（2026-10-16）：L8 无帽成立，作为 L15 约束条件性；L20 保持候选（−1.0 PW），L21 非帽证据；RT-11（2026-10-16）：按加性背景 L12 上限 1.04–1.81e-4，平衡晕不被排除RT-01/RT-06: 55–66 kpc candidate (2.0–2.9σ); RT-03: the 3-D chimney is INFERRED; RT-02: q = 2.95 ± 0.84; RT-05 (2026-10-15): L12 → a limit, L13 → CONDITIONAL; RT-07 (2026-10-15): L14 reworded, L15 → CONDITIONAL; RT-08 (2026-10-16): the FXT flat soft term is 0.49 cts/pix; as a response error the L12 upper is 0.93–1.07e-4; RT-09 (2026-10-16): PN shows no plane but its radial calibration is untested; PN-only no longer excludes the balance halo alone; RT-10 (2026-10-16): the L8 no-cap stands, conditional as an L15 constraint; L20 stays a candidate (−1.0 PW), L21 is not a cap piece; RT-11 (2026-10-16): as an additive background the L12 upper is 1.04–1.81e-4, the balance halo not excluded | RT-04（L11 pooled 似然，排队）——待定RT-04 (L11 pooled likelihood, queued) — pending | REDTEAM_QUEUE.md RT-01–RT-11 | RT-04 待定RT-04 pending |
| FXT 公共模径向标定（RT-08，已完成 2026-10-16）FXT common-mode radial calibration (RT-08, done 2026-10-16) | 一个仍被 2σ 允许的核为中心径向残差可把 L12 上限抬到平衡密度，并使 L13 超压失效；牵动 L7 FXT、L8、L12、L20a nucleus-centred radial residual still allowed at 2σ can lift the L12 upper to the balance density and kill the L13 over-pressure; carries L7 FXT, L8, L12, L20 | RT-08 发现 FXT 图有一个未渐晕的平软项（0.49 cts/pix，0.5–1.3 keV，粒子模型 5×，各波段皆有，非 Si K 线）；估计器无法吸收；按响应误差传播 → L12 上限 0.93–1.07e-4RT-08 found an unvignetted flat soft term in the FXT map (0.49 cts/pix, 0.5–1.3 keV, 5× the particle model, in every band, not the Si K line); the estimator cannot absorb it; propagated as a response error → L12 upper 0.93–1.07e-4 | 与 RT-11 的加性模型分歧未决 —— 见顶行（FXT 平软项：加性背景还是响应误差？）；FXT 空白天堆叠 / CALDB（PI 决定）the divergence with RT-11's additive model is open — see the top row (the FXT flat soft term); FXT blank-sky stacks / CALDB (PI decision) | REDTEAM_QUEUE.md RT-08; I021 C3 systematic | 已完成 2026-10-16；模型分歧 OPENdone 2026-10-16; model divergence OPEN |
| "PN 干净"（RT-09，已完成 2026-10-16）"PN is clean" (RT-09, done 2026-10-16) | PN-only 是 L7、L12（PN/FXT 斜率）与 L21 的独立检验；若 PN 也有大尺度系统，独立检验失效PN-only is the independent check for L7, L12 (the PN/FXT slope) and L21; if PN also carries a large-scale systematic, the independent check fails | RT-09：PN 无 MOS 式平面（0.073 ± 0.043，2σ < 0.17 PW/arcmin）但径向标定未测；N−S 径向差 +0.23 ± 0.13、全减 N/S +0.26 ± 0.13；一个 −0.245 PW/arcmin 的径向残差把 PN-only 晕上限抬到 7.2–14.1e-5 —— PN 单独不再排除平衡晕RT-09: PN shows no MOS-like plane (0.073 ± 0.043, 2σ < 0.17 PW/arcmin) but its radial calibration is untested; N−S radial difference +0.23 ± 0.13, all-minus-N/S +0.26 ± 0.13; a −0.245 PW/arcmin radial residual lifts the PN-only halo upper to 7.2–14.1e-5 — PN alone no longer excludes the balance halo | X-only PN 图 + 逐指向径向项拟合（见顶行 PN 径向标定）an X-only PN map with a per-pointing radial term (see the top PN radial-calibration row) | REDTEAM_QUEUE.md RT-09; E085 | 已完成 2026-10-16；径向项 OPENdone 2026-10-16; radial term OPEN |
| 晕锚（C7）：FXT 公共模渐晕未测Halo anchor (C7): common-mode FXT vignetting untested | L13–L17 全部随 P_halo(47 kpc) 缩放L13–L17 all scale with P_halo(47 kpc) | 两台 FXT 模块一致；PN-only XMM 曾被认为独立排除平衡晕 —— RT-09 后不再成立（一个 −0.245 PW/arcmin 的径向残差即可把 PN-only 上限抬到 7.2–14.1e-5）both FXT modules agree; PN-only XMM was thought to exclude the balance halo independently — after RT-09 this no longer holds (a −0.245 PW/arcmin radial residual lifts the PN-only upper to 7.2–14.1e-5) | FXT 空白场/团场检验（只读）an FXT blank/cluster-field test (read-only) | I021 C7; E084 | OPEN |
| L21 轴候选（PN 55–66 kpc）L21 axis candidate (PN 55–66 kpc) | PN C = +2.8 ± 1.0，FXT +0.6 ± 0.8，仪器间 ~2σ 不一致PN C = +2.8 ± 1.0, FXT +0.6 ± 0.8, a ~2σ instrument disagreement | 候选，未确认candidate, unconfirmed | PN N/S 组、FXT A/B、一个谱检验（C12）PN N/S groups, FXT A/B, a spectral test (C12) | E086; I021 C12 | CANDIDATE |
来源Source: I021_s09_paper_plan_v2.md (papers, checks C1–C12)
| 日期Date | 变更Change |
|---|---|
| 2026-10-15 | 手册初建（H-N3079-001）：§3 结果、§4 讨论、L1–L21 台账、§1/§2 占位。吸收 2026-10-15 的 C2（无 MOS2 外区谱）、P1 氧预算、P2 晕静力学、P4 NGC 3073、P5 MCG 9-17-9、A1 能量审计、R1 红队、L1 AGN vs 星暴、L2 混合层与 FUV 的结果。First handbook build (H-N3079-001): §3 Results, §4 Discussion, the L1–L21 ledger, §1/§2 placeholders. It folds in the 2026-10-15 results: C2 (outer spectra without MOS2), P1 oxygen budget, P2 halo hydrostatics, P4 NGC 3073, P5 MCG 9-17-9, the A1 energy audit, the R1 red team, L1 AGN vs starburst, L2 mixing layers vs FUV. |
| 2026-10-15 | 阶段 2（评审更正，并入正文）：红队 RT-01/RT-02/RT-03/RT-06 结果全文吸收 —— L7 改为"测到 ~55 kpc；55–66 kpc 候选（2.0–2.9σ 随系统学）；66 kpc 外上限 B < 0.75 PW"；L9 边缘形状 MEASURED、3-D 空心烟囱 INFERRED（转折 26–43 kpc）；L13 误差扩为 2.95 ± 0.84（含 28% 晕误差），持平依赖 z > 14 kpc 截断，ENE 2.6–3.6，最不利叠加仍 1.41 > 1。§4.8 三层表重排："就绪 = MEASURED 且无未过的门"，本版无合格行。图修复：fig_wall_profile 晕参考线（10× 偏高，改为 r = z 剖面并在图注说明）、fig_l7_zones 标注移位、fig_kt_ofe 标签/图例/网格边 ≥ 标记。首页首屏（1280×800）改为目标表+未决问题表优先。RT-04/RT-05/RT-07 待定。Stage 2 (review corrections folded into the text): the red-team RT-01/RT-02/RT-03/RT-06 results are absorbed throughout — L7 becomes "measured to ~55 kpc; 55–66 kpc a candidate (2.0–2.9σ depending on systematics); a limit B < 0.75 PW beyond 66 kpc"; L9 edge shape MEASURED, 3-D hollow chimney INFERRED (break 26–43 kpc); L13 error widened to 2.95 ± 0.84 (28% halo error included), flatness depends on the z > 14 kpc cut, ENE 2.6–3.6, the most hostile stack still 1.41 > 1. The §4.8 three-tier table is rebuilt on "ready = MEASURED and no open gate"; no row qualifies in this version. Figure fixes: fig_wall_profile halo reference line (10× too high; replaced by the r = z profile with a caption note), fig_l7_zones annotations moved, fig_kt_ofe labels/legend/grid-edge ≥ markers. The home first screen (1280×800) now leads with the objectives and open-problems tables. RT-04/RT-05/RT-07 pending. |
| 2026-10-15 | 阶段 3（RT-05/RT-07 分诊并入）：L12 由测量降为上限（n_H < 0.9–1.4e-4，2σ；FXT 1.63σ、PN −0.33σ，非探测；公共模径向残差可抬至平衡密度 1.43e-4）；L13 改为 CONDITIONAL 于 FXT 径向标定（最佳拟合晕处 2.95 ± 0.84；0.2 keV 一致发射率 → ~2.55；最不利叠加在公共模 2σ 下 ~0.85）；L14 措辞改写（2.7e40 是 HK2020 可见成分；"可见风供能 1/7–1/14"；弃 ×10–40 与"无法建造"；壁质量可为扫积晕气体）；L15 改为 CONDITIONAL（单相晕、光滑壁、外延：R 80–100 kpc 给 3.40–4.94e57 erg、结束 51–76 Myr 前；R 55–66 kpc 给 1.4–2.5e57 erg、4.6–8.0e41 erg/s、结束 17–42 Myr 前；另受 C2 与 L12 约束）。§4.8 三层表重排（L12/L13/L15 移入"仅讨论级"）；未决问题表加 RT-08（FXT 公共模径向标定，在跑）与 RT-09（PN 干净性，在跑）行，RT-05/RT-07 标记完成，RT-10 排队。图修复：fig_kt_ofe 图例移入绘图区（不再压标题）、标签写全"wall/int."；fig_wall_profile 左板加多刻度标签、晕画为上限带。RT-04/RT-08/RT-09/RT-10 待定。Stage 3 (the RT-05/RT-07 triages folded in): L12 downgraded from a measurement to a limit (n_H < 0.9–1.4e-4, 2σ; FXT 1.63σ, PN −0.33σ, not a detection; a common-mode radial residual can lift it to the balance density 1.43e-4); L13 becomes CONDITIONAL on the FXT radial calibration (2.95 ± 0.84 at the best-fit halo; a consistent 0.2 keV emissivity → ~2.55; the hostile stack ~0.85 under the common-mode 2σ); L14 reworded (2.7e40 is HK2020's visible component; "the visible wind supplies 1/7–1/14 of the energy"; ×10–40 and "cannot build" dropped; the wall mass can be swept-up halo gas); L15 becomes CONDITIONAL (single-phase halo, smooth walls, reach: R 80–100 kpc gives 3.40–4.94e57 erg ending 51–76 Myr ago; R 55–66 kpc gives 1.4–2.5e57 erg and 4.6–8.0e41 erg/s ending 17–42 Myr ago; also gated by C2 and L12). The §4.8 three-tier table rebuilt (L12/L13/L15 moved to "discussion only"); the open-problems table gains RT-08 (FXT common-mode radial calibration, running) and RT-09 (PN cleanliness, running) rows, RT-05/RT-07 marked done, RT-10 queued. Figure fixes: fig_kt_ofe legend moved inside the axes (no longer over the title), labels spelled "wall/int."; fig_wall_profile left panel multi-tick labels, halo drawn as a limit band. RT-04/RT-08/RT-09/RT-10 pending. |
| 2026-10-16 | 阶段 4（RT-08..RT-11 并入）：L12 改为上限阶梯 —— n_H(47) < 0.9–1.8e-4（2σ），取决于 FXT 背景模型：0.87e-4（无额外项）/ 0.93–1.07e-4（平软项按响应误差，RT-08）/ 1.04–1.81e-4（按加性背景，RT-11；最佳拟合 0.93–1.38e-4）；平衡晕在加性模型下不被排除，哪个模型正确待定（PI/FXT 标定）。L13 改为 CONDITIONAL 于 FXT 背景模型：无额外项时 2.95 ± 0.84；加性项下最佳拟合 q ~1.3–1.8、平衡在 2σ 内（Claude 算术）。L2b 改写：PN 无 MOS 式平面（< 0.17 PW/arcmin，2σ）但径向标定未测；PN-only 不再单独排除平衡晕。L8（RT-10）：无环平均薄壳帽成立，但作为 L15 约束是条件性的（帽亮 ~ ∝ n_H²，仅当 n_H(47) ≥ ~4.5e-5 排除 R 55–70 kpc 壳；标准壳密度下 90–100 kpc 远壳即使 5e-5 也不排除）；L20 保持候选（−1.0 PW）；L21 非帽证据、被 PN 模板系统学削弱 ~0.4 PW。fig_wall_profile 2σ 上限带扩到 ×3.3（1.81e-4/5.5e-5），图注说明每条边属于哪个模型。未决问题表：新顶行"FXT 平软项：加性背景还是响应误差？"与"PN 径向标定"行；RT-08..RT-11 标记完成（2026-10-15/16）。RT-04 待定。Stage 4 (RT-08..RT-11 folded in): L12 becomes a limit ladder — n_H(47) < 0.9–1.8e-4 (2σ), depending on the FXT background model: 0.87e-4 (no extra term) / 0.93–1.07e-4 (flat soft term as a response error, RT-08) / 1.04–1.81e-4 (as an additive background, RT-11; best fit 0.93–1.38e-4); the balance halo is not excluded under the additive model, and which model is right is open (PI/FXT calibration). L13 becomes CONDITIONAL on the FXT background model: 2.95 ± 0.84 with no extra term; under the additive term the best-fit q is ~1.3–1.8 and balance lies inside 2σ (Claude arithmetic). L2b rewritten: PN shows no MOS-like plane (< 0.17 PW/arcmin, 2σ) but its radial calibration is untested; PN-only no longer excludes the balance halo alone. L8 (RT-10): the no rim-averaged thin-shell cap stands, but as an L15 constraint it is conditional (cap brightness ~ ∝ n_H²; excludes an R 55–70 kpc shell only if n_H(47) ≥ ~4.5e-5; with the standard shell density a 90–100 kpc far shell is not excluded even at 5e-5); L20 stays a candidate (−1.0 PW); L21 is not a cap piece and is weakened ~0.4 PW by PN template systematics. fig_wall_profile 2σ band widened to ×3.3 (1.81e-4/5.5e-5), the caption says which model each edge belongs to. Open problems: a new top row "the FXT flat soft term: additive background or response error?" and a "PN radial calibration" row; RT-08..RT-11 marked done (2026-10-15/16). RT-04 pending. |
数据截至Data as of: 2026-10-16T01:08Z （RT-08..RT-11 分诊并入；最新记录 = REDTEAM_QUEUE.md RT-11 条目 2026-10-16T01:08Z；RT-04 排队）(the RT-08..RT-11 triages folded in; newest record = the REDTEAM_QUEUE.md RT-11 entry 2026-10-16T01:08Z; RT-04 queued)